Before reading the post, I skimmed the comments. I see that the author’s replies to comments are clear evidence of failure. I don’t know, or care, if it’s trolling or merely defensiveness (I guess the latter is by far more likely).
As for the claim that the particular questions are designed to elicit wrong answers (and yes, the wrong answers are objectively wrong), so as to sex up the results, that’s obviously true. That obviousness is probably the reason for the initial downvotes.
I think the author has completely misunderstood the intent of “conjunction fallacy”. It’s not that people are more prone to favor a conjunction as more plausible in general, just because it’s a conjunction, it’s that it’s obviously wrong to consider a conjunction more likely than any one of its components.
Before reading the post, I skimmed the comments. I see that the author’s replies to comments are clear evidence of failure. I don’t know, or care, if it’s trolling or merely defensiveness (I guess the latter is by far more likely).
As for the claim that the particular questions are designed to elicit wrong answers (and yes, the wrong answers are objectively wrong), so as to sex up the results, that’s obviously true. That obviousness is probably the reason for the initial downvotes.
I think the author has completely misunderstood the intent of “conjunction fallacy”. It’s not that people are more prone to favor a conjunction as more plausible in general, just because it’s a conjunction, it’s that it’s obviously wrong to consider a conjunction more likely than any one of its components.